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| Posted: 29 Jan 2011 06:01 PM PST  Protestors rally against Egypt's President Hosni Mubarak outside the Federal Building in Westwood, California. - Reuters pic In five days of unprecedented protests that have rocked the Arab world, more than 100 people have been killed, investors and tourists have taken fright, Mubarak has offered a first glimpse of a plan to step down and 80 million long-suffering Egyptians are caught between hope for democratic reform and fear of chaos. The United States and European powers were busy tearing up their Middle East policies, which have supported Mubarak at the head of the most populous Arab nation for 30 years, turning a blind eye to police brutality and corruption in return for a solid bulwark against first communism and now militant Islam. Fellow autocrats across the region were looking nervously at their histories of eastern Europe, wondering whether the fall of Tunisia's veteran strongman two weeks ago had, like the fall of the Berlin Wall in 1989, set in train a domino effect. As in Tunis, Egypt's exploding young population, most of then underemployed and frustrated by oppression at the hands of a corrupt and rapacious elite, were demanding a full clear-out of the old guard, not just a reshuffle of the governing class. Yesterday, the 82-year-old Mubarak bowed to protesters and named a vice-president for the first time, a move seen as lining up Omar Suleiman, hitherto his chief of intelligence, as an eventual successor, at least for a transition. Many also saw it as ending his son Gamal's long-surmised ambitions to take over. Fearful of a descent into anarchy, some Egyptians were reassured by signs Mubarak may be readying a handover of power within the military establishment that has run the biggest Arab state since British-backed King Farouk fled in 1952. But those on the streets of Cairo, a teeming megalopolis of 15 million that is the biggest city in the Middle East, have scented weakness and remain impatient for Mubarak to go now. Mohammed Essawy, a 26-year-old graduate student, said of the appointments: "This is not acceptable. Mubarak must step down. Public unrest will not stop until this is achieved." Saad Mohammed, 45, a welder said: "We are not demanding a change of cabinet. We want them all to leave — Mubarak before anyone else." While clearly anxious to avoid an anarchic collapse that might destabilise a region that is vital to world oil supplies, Mubarak's allies in Western governments appear to share a sense that what has happened so far does not go far enough. In Washington, State Department spokesman P.J. Crowley said: "The Egyptian government can't reshuffle the deck and then stand pat." In Europe, the German, French and British leaders issued a joint statement thanking Mubarak for his contribution to stability in the Middle East — Egypt led the way in agreeing to a peace with Israel — but demanding that he now start the move to free elections, a move that would certainly end his power. Police shot dead 17 people in Bani Suef, south of Cairo, as street battles intensified in some towns, even as police seemed to leave much of Cairo to the army, an institution generally respected by Egyptians and less associated with oppression. Demonstrators and soldiers chatted amicably in the capital, but after dark, while some pursued their political goals by defying a curfew, others roamed for booty. In a country were many struggle to get enough to eat, those privileged to live in areas with shopping malls and fashion stores formed vigilante patrols to protect their property. Egypt's street protesters pushed President Hosni Mubarak into naming a deputy who might in time succeed him, but thousands went on defying a curfew and urging the army to join them in forcing Mubarak from power immediately. Police shot dead 17 people at Beni Suef, south of Cairo, as pressure mounted on Mubarak from allies in Washington and Europe to restrain his police and speed a democratic transition that would end his 30 years of one-man rule. Thousands marched in Cairo by day, unmolested by troops who manned tanks on the streets. After dark, police there opened fire in at least one incident, looters roamed for booty, and the national tax office was set ablaze. Recalling eastern Europe in 1989, one analyst called it "the Arab world's Berlin moment". In naming intelligence chief Omar Suleiman vice-president, many saw Mubarak edging toward an eventual, army-approved handover of power. The 82-year-old former general has long kept his 80 million people guessing over succession plans that had, until this week, seemed to focus on grooming his son Gamal, 47. Gamal's hopes now seem remote. The promotion of Suleiman, 74, a key player in ties with the United States and Israel, and the appointment of another military man, Ahmed Shafiq, as prime minister pleased some Egyptians worried about looming chaos. According to various estimates about 100 people have been killed during the week, in the capital and other cities. Medical sources say at least 1,030 people were hurt in Cairo. Among the dead were three policemen killed in the capital. US President Barack Obama met Vice President Joe Biden and national security adviser Tom Donilon to discuss unrest in the Arab power that is a linchpin of U.S. Middle East strategy. State Department spokesman P.J. Crowley said the Egyptian government "can't reshuffle the deck and then stand pat". "He is just like Mubarak, there is no change," one protester said of Suleiman outside the Interior Ministry, where thousands were protesting. The last vice-president was Mubarak himself, before he succeeded the assassinated Anwar Sadat in 1981. Later, police opened fire on a crowd hundreds strong at the ministry. A Reuters reporter saw one protester fall wounded. "This is the Arab world's Berlin moment," said Fawaz Gerges of the London School of Economics. "The authoritarian wall has fallen, and that's regardless of whether Mubarak survives. "The barrier of fear has been removed. It is really the beginning of the end of the status quo in the region." The prospect of even greater upheaval across the Middle East — regardless of whether it is the crowd or their rulers who get the upper hand — is prompting some investors to see risks for oil supplies that could in turn hamper global economic growth. More immediately, Egypt's vital tourist industry is taking a knock. In prosperous parts of Cairo, vigilantes guarded homes, shops and hotels from looters. Thieves at the Egyptian Museum damaged two mummies from the time of the pharaohs. Of Suleiman's appointment, analyst Gamal Abdel Gawad Soltan said: "This is the beginning of a process of power transfer." At the Center for Strategic and International Studies, Jon Alterman said: "I can't see how this is not the beginning of the end of Mubarak's presidency. It seems that his task now is to try and manage the transition past his leadership. I have a hard time believing that he will be the president in a year." Many saw Mubarak's concessions as echoes of those made two weeks ago by Tunisia's Zine al-Abidine Ben Ali. Just a day later, Ben Ali had fled his country, deserted by an army which preferred to back less hated figures in his government. Tunisians' Internet-fed uprising over economic hardship and political oppression has inspired growing masses of unemployed youth across the Arab world, leaving autocratic leaders worried. With the French and British leaders, German Chancellor Angela Merkel said: "We call on President Mubarak to renounce any violence again unarmed civilians." The European trio also called for "free and fair elections" — something that few doubt would end the grip of the establishment build up around Mubarak. Like other Arab leaders, the president portrays himself as a bulwark against the West's Islamist enemies. But Egypt's banned opposition movement the Muslim Brotherhood has been only one element in the week's events. It lays claim to moderation. "A new era of freedom and democracy is dawning in the Middle East," Kamel El-Helbawy, a cleric from the Brotherhood said from exile in London. "Islamists would not be able to rule Egypt alone. We should and would cooperate." A Brotherhood lawyer in Egypt told Reuters that Mubarak's hesitation to meet protesters' demands had increased appetite for change. Abdel-Moneim Abdel-Maksoud said Mubarak should step down — but that an interim government was needed to preserve order for some months until free elections. On the Corniche promenade alongside the River Nile in Cairo, people stayed out after the curfew deadline, standing by tanks and chatting with soldiers who took no action to disperse them. At one point, dozens of people approached a military cordon carrying a sign reading "Army and People Together". Soldiers pulled back and let the group through: "There is a curfew," one lieutenant said. "But the army isn't going to shoot anyone." While the police are generally feared as an instrument of repression, the army is seen as a national institution. Rosemary Hollis, at London's City University, said the army had to decide whether it stood with Mubarak or the people: "It's one of those moments where as with the fall of communism in Eastern Europe they can come down to individual lieutenants and soldiers to decide whether they fire on the crowd or not." In Alexandria, police used teargas and live ammunition against demonstrators earlier on Saturday. Protests continued in the port city after curfew, witnesses said. So far, the protest movement seems to have no clear leader or organisation. Prominent activist Mohamed ElBaradei, a Nobel Peace Laureate for his work with the U.N. nuclear agency, returned to Egypt from Europe to join the protests. But many Egyptians feel he has not spent enough time in the country. "Hosni Mubarak has not heard the people," ElBaradei told Al Jazeera, renewing his call for the president to step down. Banks will be shut today as "a precaution", Central Bank Governor Hisham Ramez told Reuters. The stock market, whose benchmark index tumbled 16 per cent in two days, will also be closed today. The Egyptian pound fell to six-year lows. — Reuters |
| Obama keeps pressure on Mubarak as US protests grow Posted: 29 Jan 2011 04:09 PM PST  Demonstrators shout slogans during a protest outside the White House in Washington. - Foto Reuters pic As angry protesters defied a curfew in Egyptian cities, President Barack Obama and his administration kept up pressure for Mubarak to heed their calls for democratic change and take seriously a US threat to review massive aid to Cairo. Obama is performing a delicate balancing act, trying to avoid abandoning Mubarak — an important U.S. strategic ally of 30 years — while supporting protesters who seek broader political rights and demand his ouster. But Washington has limited options to influence the situation. "The Egyptian government can't reshuffle the deck and then stand pat," State Department spokesman P.J. Crowley said in a message on Twitter.com after Mubarak fired his government but made clear he had no intention of stepping down. "President Mubarak's words pledging reform must be followed by action," he said, echoing Obama's appeal on Friday for Mubarak to embrace a new political dynamic. Crowley's comments, part of an increasingly assertive US stance, came just before Mubarak picked intelligence chief and confidant Omar Suleiman as vice president. It is a post Mubarak had never filled in three decades of rule, and many interpreted the move as edging toward an eventual handover of power. There was no immediate US reaction to the appointment of Suleiman, who has played a prominent role in Egypt's relations with the United States and its ally Israel. Obama huddled yesterday for an hour with his national security team on the crisis in Egypt, a linchpin of US Middle East strategy. Afterward, the White House said its focus remained on "calling for restraint, supporting universal rights and supporting concrete steps that advance political reform." The US administration was caught off guard by the political upheaval that has rocked the Middle East in recent days, from Egypt to Tunisia to Lebanon to Yemen. As US officials weighed the latest developments in Egypt, protests emerged in Chicago, Houston, Los Angeles, New York and Washington, where about 150 people marched from the Egyptian Embassy to the White House and stood outside the gates chanting, "Hey Obama, don't you know, Hosni Mubarak has to go." A top Republican called for Mubarak to hold elections. "Mr. Mubarak should listen to the demands of the Egyptian people for freedom and immediately schedule legitimate, democratic, internationally recognized elections," said Ileana Ros-Lehtinen, head of the House of Representatives Foreign Affairs Committee. "The people of Egypt no longer accept the status quo. They are looking to their government for a meaningful process to foster real reform," Crowley said as unrest in Egypt's cities continued for a fifth day despite Mubarak having ordered the army to the streets. At least 74 people have been killed. Obama spoke to Mubarak on Friday and urged sweeping reforms, while the White House made clear that US$1.5 billion (RM5.1 billion) in annual aid to Egypt, most of it military, is at stake. Obama said he pushed Mubarak to fulfill his pledges of greater democracy and economic freedom shortly after the Egyptian president gave a televised speech in which he dismissed his Cabinet in response to the protests. Egypt's crisis poses a dilemma for the United States. Mubarak, 82, has been a close partner of Washington for decades and has cited the danger of Islamic militancy in part as justification for his long autocratic rule. Egypt plays an important role in Middle East peacemaking — it was the first of only two Arab states to have signed a peace treaty with Israel — and is also seen by Washington as a crucial counterweight to Iran's regional clout. But human rights groups have accused successive US administrations of being too tolerant of Egyptian rights abuses. From the US perspective, the worst-case scenario in Egypt's crisis would be the rise of an Islamist government potentially aligned with Iran. But so far there has been no sign of Muslim fundamentalism driving the protest movement. In New York, nearly 1,500 people rallied outside the United Nations headquarters, chanting "People want regime change." Several hundred protesters gathered outside the Egyptian consulate in Chicago carrying signs, singing the Egyptian anthem and chanting slogans such as "Brick by brick, wall by wall, we will see Mubarak fall." — Reuters |
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